Does Thus Martine Aubry has decided, in view of the Socialist Congress in June in Poitiers, to sign the motion majority led by the first secretary, Jean-Christophe Cambadélis. Folded Congress peace of the brave among the Socialists, after the beating of departmental elections before thrashing regional at the end of the year. François Hollande and Manuel Valls obtained satisfaction as the mayor of Lille is well and truly back into line. Appearances are saved, a major political conflict will not weaken again a party in agony. Yet nothing is set as Martine Aubry, suddenly reasonable, none the less disagree with the economic, financial and social choices of Holland-Valls Macron trio.
It remains to explain and understand This rally.
Reconnecting links or sink together
It is good to know that with Cambadélis in appui- and former Trotskyist is very clever in that situation – Francois Hollande personally led the operation reconquista Martine Aubry. He knows how to do this master tactician of politics. The grub of Socialist Congress, it knows it. Holland realized that it was essential that renews itself a link, somewhat broken, with Martine Aubry, as if it applied, it would experience the greatest difficulties to resist. Because it did not escape the political and electoral doldrums socialist – and the president has not failed to inform him they will flow (for sure) together; they will survive (maybe) together. Because indeed Martine Aubry does not resist better than the pure juice Dutch: she lost the northern department; it may soon leave the far right the Nord-Pas-de-Calais region. It would be a national disaster and she would wear a (large?) Responsibility. A key element in his return to “reason”. He passed it back to reason, by multiple contacts and conversations with Francois Hollande – which has granted him a series of social measures already bristling hair Valls and Macron. But in politics everything is paid, the president being allowed convinced.
Yet between Francois Hollande and Martine Aubry, nothing is settled. Because they differ on what should be the socialism of the twenty-first century: social-liberal according to the head of the state; Social Democratic, according to the former Minister of Labour. And the differences are not that clear: the role of the state, they do not share the same design, not about the report to the employers or the manner in which to combat the excesses of finance. This agreement can only be a short-term alliance.
only has the presidential election
As we know, the short-term alliances can not last because they simply erase the fundamental differences. In this type of exercise, the Socialists are engaged with various pleasures, from … 1983, since the turn of the driven rigor and imposed by the triplet-Mitterrand-Mauroy Delors. This rigor, Jacques Delors the girl continues to oppose the socialist party and navigate between two antagonistic conceptions. Throughout the five-year Holland, this strategy sculling show its limits between the theses of Emmanuel Macron and those of Martine Aubry, choose. We know already that the Congress of Poitiers will not help because, once again, this key sharing will be avoided, circumvented, to the delight of François Hollande and with the formal agreement of the lady of 35 hours. The oddities of politics to the French, this universe where ideas hardly count, where only matter the presidential election.
This is also like this that finally convinced Holland Aubry, by persuading that he still had a chance to triumph in 2017 to the precondition that the great socialist leaders remain united and he can count on it. So he will be. Until when?
For their part, Manuel Valls and Emmanuel Macron not intend to ease off. To win, it is essential to continue to reform. Do nothing until the first round of the next presidential election – which could now be the thesis of the president – the head of government and the Minister of Economy do not. Regression of France assured. Guaranteed electoral failure. But if they dare, they can count on Martine Aubry, their new partner, to call them to order.
Meanwhile, Marine Le Pen, Nicolas Sarkozy and Alain Juppé observe rather rejoice: the Socialists there, in plain appearance, hardly worry the
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