This is the logical consequence of the use of Article 49-3 to pass the law without Macron vote in the National Assembly. The government must now contend with a censure motion tabled by the UMP, which has partnered UDI. Signed by the leader of the UMP Christian Jacob, his counterpart Philippe Vigier IDUs and 109 other elected opposition, the text denounces “the forced passage” of the executive and the economic policy dictated by Emmanuel Macron.
The motion will be debated Thursday from 16 hours at the National Assembly, before a vote in 18 hours. The results will be announced around 18:30. If approved, Manuel Valls will submit the resignation of his government. An unlikely assumption. Never a motion was adopted after the use of 49-3. And the balance of power is largely in favor of socialist majority face an alliance against nature consists of the UMP, UDI, the Left Front and the National Front.
The 198 parliamentarians UMP
Liberalization of the labor market, extending Sunday opening of shops, reforms of regulated professions .. . Several provisions of the law Macron could easily have come from the UMP. Some opposition parliamentarians as Frédéric Lefebvre, Olivier Carré, Thierry Mariani and Hervé Mariton were also ready to vote the text at first reading against the injunctions of Nicolas Sarkozy. Group Discipline requires the 198 members of the opposition party will vote censorship . But the minority “for” does not rule out voting in favor of the law if it comes back to the House after passing the Senate.
The 30 elected UDI
The tone is the same side of IDUs parliamentarians, including the group associated with the motion of censure tabled by the UMP. Some – Meyer Habib and Jean-Christophe Fromentin in mind – would vote in favor of the law Macron Tuesday. The majority had to abstain. Thursday, 30 centrists will vote the motion in the wake of their group president.
The 15 members of the Left Front
More surprisingly, in his battle against the government of Manuel Valls, right, can now count on the support of the extreme left. Headwind against the bill of the Minister of Economy, the 15 deputies of the Left Front indicated by the voice of their President André Chassaigne group (PCF) they would vote in favor of the motion. “Because that’s the only way to oppose the Macron law,” explained latter. A position that is not to the liking of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, co-founder of the Left Party, which is not a member but said he would have rather tried to “make a censure motion on the left.”
The 2 elected FN
This is the final component of the amazing trailer that stands against Manuel Valls . The vice-president of the National Front Florian Philippot said Tuesday that Gilbert Collard and Marion Maréchal-Le Pen , both elected from the party, probably will vote for the censure motion.
The government of Valls should remain in place
With 288 members since the election of Frédéric Barbier in Doubs, the Party Socialist is only one vote of the absolute majority (289). The presidential majority also relies on the support of radicals and related that count 18 deputies. Macron opposed the bill, the 18 eco-elected will not vote the motion. As socialists slingers who will not cross the Rubicon, which would amount to enact their break with the PS. Stéphane Le Foll has indicated that those who would vote the text “did not have their place in PS”. And since only the votes in favor of the motion will be identified Thursday – abstentions and cons are not distinguished – the motion has no chance of being adopted even by combining the voice of the UMP, UDI , the left and FN Front.
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