It discutaille severe since Monday between PS leaders. Palaver which will continue until the last minute of the last day may be filed traditional motions. Consequence: currents and sensibilities of the meetings are occurring at a rapid pace. The stakes are high for the Socialists. Because, unlike 2008 the Reims congress had seen hard face Ségolène Royal and Martine Aubry, the issue of people will be secondary. This is the substance that socialists ferrailleront. A pivotal event for the five years since its outcome could weigh on future economic and political line of the government. The stakes are high and the Prime Minister did not make a mistake. Proof of this is the cancellation of his participation on the board of Franco-German Ministers to come to attend the meeting of the Socialist Group in the Assembly which was held Tuesday morning.
Valls makes gringue its majority
calinothérapie practiced by Valls on MPs gathered in a “packed house” and “calm atmosphere but leaded” , according to one participant. This is Bruno Le Roux, president of the group increasingly unloved by his troops, who launched the first, explaining that the Socialists had “lost less than expected.” A “positive attitude” shaped raffarinade that caused “a grumbling in the room” by the same participant. Jean-Christophe Cambadélis, he was able to warm up the atmosphere and to be applauded when he mentions the need “gathering of the left” while “the room n ‘ had not flinched after the intervention of Bruno Le Roux . ” Good news for “Camba” that can always convert back to group president if needed …
Then comes the turn of Valls. “We had to get involved [in this election] because we felt that something was hidden” , he says, “very calm”. then began his “demagogic” phase “I am here with you, this is normal. The president is in Germany and I belong here “. He continued: “I wanted to listen to you. I’m listening and I am hurt when I hear that I do not listen “, claims there, just to say that behind the shell is actually hiding a small beating heart … To reinforce its charm number, Valls justifies “the choice of competitiveness has been done and that we should not give up” and adds that “you have to give more support to growth” that “It would be stupid to break growth by purely accounting measures,” reference to reductions in requirements budget requested by the European Commission. What interested the most refractory deputies to the “diktats” of EU bodies. And to try to convince the most reluctant he is still left, he recalls that “be careful not to question the labor law” , including the CDI and ‘nail the “No decision has been made and it is I who make the ads”
Valls does not forget to give prospects to his audience.: “We must go to the reconquest” and provide “the possibility of gathering all left forces. (…) We need to recreate hope. ” A charming exercise that did not leave indifferent some aubrystes attending the high mass vallsienne. And that’s good because that same evening, Martine Aubry gathered his troops a hundred of which “between 30 and 45 members,” as a participant agrees to tell, triple off of course, and “outline” the nature of trade. A conservative rigor in relation to the restraining pronounced before the meeting by François Lamy: “Nobody will speak at the end of the meeting. This is an important moment and that requires us to keep our internal debates. ” Some indiscretions that would be worth to be “crucified by Martine Aubry in the hall of four columns” , pleasant our protagonist. Only half …
Martine Aubry casts doubt
On the agenda, the possible attitudes to adopt in the coming weeks. Because, as usual, Martine Aubry, in the great moments, like leave some doubt. The range of options for the conference are reviewed. Either make joint motion with the slingers collective Cheers left which brings together members of the left wing and former Strauss-kahniens. “A position advocated by some,” which Christian Paul, but that would not have been a success according to our interlocutor who would even “cools both three who defend” . Another possibility is to associate with the motion of Jean-Christophe Cambadélis, former comrade of the motion D 2008. Alliance has the disadvantage of not allowing to influence government policy line given the lack of appetite a “Camba” ie home truths (neo-liberal) with Manuel Valls. Last hypothesis: a motion to purely home, “motion around 20-25% would make us a pivot” already imagine our aubryste. A plausible hypothesis since Martine aubry have made it clear that “The important thing is not the convention itself, but to succeed that the president agrees with Martine on certain inflections” . And to clarify that “The door is open for an agreement” . An option which would thus increase the pressure on Francois Hollande. Especially that “Martine Aubry has no head career plan, what matters is to succeed the two years remaining five-year”. to avoid a total collapse of the PS 2017? The only certainty of our interlocutor: “The aubrystes are the keys to this Congress” …
A left wing in the fog
A very embarrassing aubryste indecision for the left wing of the PS because it prevents to make any prognosis, even if one of its leaders says be “serene.” If it considers that the Mayor Lille “spent two years doing that accompanied outings, validated, legitimized our proposals” and expects “a natural convergence” , it admits still do not know “how she will handle it.” only certainty for the member, it has to be “a belief, not a combination congress congress” with a lot “diversion motions” and other schemes. On Monday, the meetings are chained, either in the current multi-live the group left, a current World in advance (AMU) founded by Benoît Hamon or that of Marie-Noëlle Lienemann, Jérôme Guedj and Emmanuel Maurel , Now the left. And again, the unknowns are many. If a close Hamon ensures that the “exceeded AMU through collective Vive the left is an acquired” , the perimeter of a motion that would result is still unclear. And what about the first signatory? As always according to the same socialist, name of it (or it) could déclecnher a cataclysm, enmities not missing on the left wing of the PS. If Benoit Hamon may seem, media-speaking, the most legitimate, some of the left and even now its own current that “Given the shop” while he was in government, always hold it against him agreeing in 2008 to go along with Martine Aubry so that the left wing had gathered. More recently its combination with Arnaud Montebourg, to set up Manuel Valls, still in the craw of some. A choice of a first signatory should be done as late as possible, push in the last minute to avoid a default in bankruptcy of a motion to …
in Holland maneuver
Hollande – his experience of first secretary of the PS for over ten years requires … – stirs also backstage. Lunch with Martine Aubry and Jean-Marc Ayrault, chat one-on-one with Cécile Duflot on the plane bringing him back to Tunis, phone call to one and all, Holland is not idle. Two sites are before him. Bring the Greens in the government fold, EELV’s meeting to be held this Saturday will be crucial. And the other, not least, a calm Martine Aubry rise like a cuckoo and prevent the Congress from becoming a verification exercise of its policy since 2012. Near Martine Aubry is also out, amused, as “this weekend, the agenda of the President of the Republic is eerily quiet.” officially anyway …
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