SURVEY According to our survey, the Kantar Sofres OnePoint for Le Figaro, LCI and RTL, François Hollande is eliminated in all cases as soon as the first round of the presidential election, systematically beaten by the candidates of the right and the FN, but also by Emmanuel Macron, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Manuel Valls, meanwhile, is no better than the head of State.
The surveys come and go and look for François Holland, and they are catastrophic. But the prime minister Manuel Valls, who is preparing to climb to the first line in the case where the outgoing president would not seek for second term in office, is no better than him, face to the right and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the headdress both the pole whatever the case.
According to our survey, the Kantar Sofres OnePoint for Le Figaro, LCI and RTL, François Hollande is completely out of the race, stuck to the fifth position with 9% of voting intentions for the first round of the presidential election, behind Alain Juppé and Marine Le Pen, which are set equal to 28%, Emmanuel Macron (14%) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (13%). In the event that Nicolas Sarkozy would be the candidate LR, the head of State is not better: it always comes fifth, with 10% of voting intentions, behind Marine Le Pen (26%), Nicolas Sarkozy (20%), Emmanuel Macron (15%) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (13.5 per cent). A real slap in the face for the outgoing president.
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Even in the case where Emmanuel Macron would not be a candidate, François Hollande (12%) fails to exceed Jean-Luc Mélenchon, which then takes the third place (14.5 per cent), behind the duo of head Alain Juppé (34%) and Marine Le Pen (29 per cent). If Nicolas Sarkozy and François Bayrou were candidates in the absence of the former minister of the Economy, it is Marine Le Pen that is now in the head of the voting intentions, with 28%, followed by the candidate LR (22%) and that of the far-left (15,5%).
the Other teaching of our poll: Manuel Valls is not better than the head of State. If it is the prime minister who was brought in to wear the colors of the PS in the first round of the presidential election, it would happen like Holland in the fifth position with exactly the same score as him (9%), behind Alain Juppé (28%) and Nicolas Sarkozy (21%), but also, and this is a humiliation, behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who oscillates between 13% and 15%, depending on the configurations. “Holland, which was very low in our survey in early September picks up again, but Valls is not better, analysis Carine Marcé. According to the associate director of Kantar public, this survey also reveals that “Alain Juppé”, well in the lead when Emmanuel Macron is not a candidate, but also the “strong growth of Jean-Luc Mélenchon”, in all the cases. About Emmanuel Macron, “he continues, even as the economic situation of the media, dominated by the primary from the right, is not favorable.”
a Study conducted by Kantar Sofres-OnePoint for “Le Figaro”, RTL and LCI. Sample of 1005 people listed on the election lists, representative of the French population aged 18 years and over. Method of quotas (sex, age, profession of the reference person) and stratification by region and category of agglomeration. This survey was conducted online, October 21-23, 2016.