Saturday, June 18, 2016

If François Hollande had finally interest to submit to a primary? – Francetv info

Jean-Christophe Cambadélis was the surprise, Friday, June 17, announcing its willingness to organize an open primary to the left of government. The first secretary of the PS has formally proposed this option before the party’s national council, which meets on Saturday.

In an interview with Libération , he claims to have given François Hollande informed his initiative. So far, the Head of State was not leaving to undergo a primary. His strategy seems to have changed. More than an obstacle, the primary could serve as a milestone on the road to a possible re-election in 2017.



A forum to defend his record

“that’s better.” for several weeks, the head of state insists that slogan, not yet benefit from it in the polls. By participating in a primary in late January, as provided Jean-Christophe Cambadélis, Hollande would have a platform of choice for defending a balance regularly vilified by its competitors. By then, François Hollande may be betting that the economic recovery will grow and that the reversal of the unemployment curve will be confirmed. A winner timing.



A way to regain legitimacy

What better than to return to the people to repair a widely damaged image? Discredited, head of a left government based more and more reduced, François Hollande has not much to lose to participate in such an adventure.

All the polls show in extreme difficulty in all cases in the first round of presidential elections. Participate in a primary – and win – would be the way for him to show that he is the only candidate able to win the left in 2017. A TNS Sofres poll also shows that he is the best candidate with supporters PS, before Manuel Valls and Emmanuel Macron. If defeated, he will have no regrets, and avoid the humiliation of elimination in the first round of presidential elections.



A trap for Macron and Montebourg

With François Hollande, political tactics is everywhere. In endorsing now a primary left it requires two of its potential competitors to position themselves. Emmanuel Macron, which repeats in every tone not to run “today” he dare take the plunge and tackle head-on the one who promoted politics? The announcement also has the effect of cutting the grass under the feet of Arnaud Montebourg, who expected a lack of primary to go solo for president.



One way to compete right

Another advantage of this primary: do not leave the field to the right, which the candidate has been appointed in late November. The campaign of the primary left will attract media attention in December and January. For she enjoys this exhibition, the left will however avoid the pitfall of a great explanation. Nothing would be worse for her than continue to tear face a right in working order.

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