Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Holland would be absent from the second round in 2017 in most cases (survey) – Le Parisien

Assuming an application Juppé, Mayor of Bordeaux come in first in the first round, with 30% of the vote (unchanged from a previous survey in December), before Marine Le Pen, 27% (+1), and the current head of state credited with 16% (-4.5). François Bayrou would receive 8.5% (+2) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10% (1.5), according to the survey for iTV, Paris Match and Sud Radio. In the event that Bayrou would not candidate, Alain Juppe would collect 35% (+1) of the votes in the first round, before Marine Le Pen, 28% (1.5) and François Hollande, 18% (-2.5). If Nicolas
Sarkozy was the candidate of the Republicans, the president of the FN come in first with 25% (-2), ahead of former head of state, 21% (stable), and François Hollande 18% (-4). In this case, François Bayrou would receive 15% (+3) of the votes and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 11.5% (+ 2.5%). In the case of Fillon candidate, Marine Le Pen emerge more clearly in the lead, with 28% (-1), followed by former Prime Minister (-1.5) and the current head of State (-5) tied at 18%. In this hypothesis, François Bayrou would collect 14.5% (+ 4.5%) of the votes and Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% (+3). According to this poll, Hollande will qualify for the second round that in the event of a bid Bruno Le Maire to the right, with 18% of votes against 17 for the former minister. Marine Le Pen is also leading with 28%, Bayrou would get 15% and Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% of the vote. In all of these assumptions, Cécile Duflot, Green candidate, would collect between 2% and 3
% Other cases:. François Hollande, “unity candidate of the left” (without applications Mélenchon and environmentalist) would get 22% of the vote against 21.5% for Nicolas Sarkozy, and would qualify for Marine second round to face Le Pen (28%).
online Study conducted from February 17 to 19, with 1,843 people registered on the electoral lists according to quotas.



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