“After experts, polls, politicians, journos and everything else, the election is finally in the hands of the most intelligent people of all: voters”
It is by this. tweet guru com ‘David Cameron, Jim Messina, launched the election night. And he was right: the voter has reserved all political experts and all the biggest surprise pollsters
In the five-week campaign, no poll – and there. had up to four times a day – no one foresaw that. They gave all the Labour and Conservatives neck and neck, and without an absolute majority, forced to form alliances with smaller parties to govern. Now the latest news, the conservative incumbent Prime Minister, David Cameron, are moving towards a landslide victory, on the verge of an absolute majority. The counting is still underway in some constituencies but the “Tories” and already has already won 325 of the 650 seats in the House of Commons.
1. The surprise Cameron
Shortly after 22 pm in London, the first estimates fall in the general incredulity policies and Analysts: the projection of Professor John Curtice, the “king of the exit polls” gives the Conservatives in the lead with a lead of 77 seats over Labour. A disastrous result for Labour Ed Miliband, who would do less well than its predecessor, the outgoing Prime Minister Gordon Brown, after 13 years of Labour management and then struggling with the financial crisis is known.
As for the Liberal Democrats, it’s even worse than announced slap. “If this survey is correct, I’ll eat my hat in your show publicly,” let go Paddy Ashdown, former leader of the Lib Dems party, told the BBC. The guru of the dreaded com ‘of Tony Blair, Alastair Campbell Scotsman gave the change by promising him to “eat his kilt.”
But over the evening, he has had surrender to the evidence. The result allows Cameron to stay at 10 Downing Street, the head of a government right in his boots, which will continue its policy based first and foremost on a strong economy and reduce the deficit. Another major consequence of this evening like no other: a referendum on a possible exit from the European Union is now accepted at the latest in 2017
Cameron, no need to negotiations with its partners. coalition, moderate and pro-European Lib Dems Nick Clegg: they rolled out this election. Three heavyweights of the party to ministerial posts, lost their seats in Westminster. They pay out a high price for their participation in a government austerity today and meet more than a dozen of the 57 seats won in the 2010 elections Commentators betting on resignation of Nick Clegg, even if -C has retained his seat in the constituency of Sheffield Hallam.
2. Sturgeon, another winner
The only accurate prediction pollsters: the success of Scottish independence, led by the “star” of the elections, Nicola Sturgeon, the SNP leader. The party is vying to provide 56 of the 59 MPs that Scotland sends the Commons. This success was made on the backs of Labor, almost swept the Scottish electoral map.
Nicola Sturgeon, center (Scott Heppell / AP / SIPA)
Symbol of a party booming, a 20 year old student, Mhairi Black, blew the seat to Douglas Alexander, tipped to be the Minister of Foreign Affairs in a government Miliband. She became the youngest MP since 1667. Another major symbol of the failure Ed Balls, in Leeds, who was the finance minister of a government Miliband
3.. Miliband in turmoil
The future of Ed Miliband as head of Labour is also now in question. Even so, around 5:30 am, he learned that he kept his seat in the constituency of Doncaster North. He spoke of “a very disappointing and difficult night” for his party. It did not materialize the expected progress in England and has failed to stem a nationalist tidal wave in Scotland.
The next government has a great responsibility in a task that will s’ be difficult, that of maintaining the Union, “he blurted.
4. Austerity and referendum in menu
In his speech re-election in his constituency Witney, west of London, David Cameron, winner, confirmed that “there is only one poll that counts, that of election night.” He spoke of a “very strong result “for the Conservatives and a” positive reaction to a positive campaign “, not forgetting to emphasize its determination not breaking out the Union, by offering to Scotland and Wales more autonomy. He says he wants to “govern for everyone in Britain.”
Nigel Farage, leader of the anti-European party Ukip candidate for a parliamentary seat in South Thanet, Kent, appeared defeated and grumpy in his tweed coat. The times are not to beer. His seat is not acquired at the time of writing and announced he would quit politics if defeated. Caroline Lucas, Green MP alone parliament, has kept its headquarters in Brighton Pavillion.
What can we learn from this election? Political scientists are scratching their heads but one thing is certain: he took down all the commentators and upset the odds. A sanction of LibDems was expected but certainly not in these proportions and especially no one expected that the Conservatives would benefit as much.
The campaign scare tactics of the Tories promising the Apocalypse for the economy in the case the advent of a spendthrift Labour government and an SNP supporter of the disintegration of the Union, it seems, convinced voters that will continue for five years to swallow its austerity potion – and will have a say on a holding or not in the European Union.
Marie-Hélène Martin, correspondent in London
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