The conservative Prime Minister David Cameron moves towards a surprise victory in parliamentary allowing it to continue its austerity policy and submit referendum membership of the United Kingdom to the EU, while the Scottish Nationalists will make a kind of tidal wave galvanize their independence ardor
Outgoing Prime Minister welcomed the turn “positive” events to get out of “a great night for the Conservatives “without formally claim victory when nearly 450 of the 650 seats had been stripped. The exit poll predicting such an earthquake was greeted with tweezers and 21H00 as it differed forecasts opinion polls predicting an ultra-close result for months, but it has gradually materialized during the night attesting a crushing defeat of the Labour Party and a defeat of the Liberal Democrats.
At 4:30, the Labour leader Ed Miliband has recognized “a very disappointing night for his party”, from Doncaster, where he was re-elected. The lib-dem, conservative partners in the outgoing government, was meanwhile threatened with losing 46 of their 56 seats. Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg, who survived Sheffield, has hinted that he may resign as head of the party after a “cruel and punitive night.”
David Cameron criticized for its lack of commitment carry-in, or curling could reach the absolute majority of 326 votes in the House of Commons, key to form a minority government with the one-time booster of . allies in parliament
Warning Brexit
Re-elected, Cameron will be keen to fulfill its main campaign promise: the organization by 2017 of a referendum on maintaining -or pas- country in the European Union. A prospect that worries her European partners because of the possibility of “Brexit” (for “British Exit”).
Made with 22,000 voters by the main television stations, the ballot boxes exit poll allocates 316 seats to the Tories (nine more than in 2010), 239 to Labour (18 less). The SNP Scottish nationalists rafleraient 58 of the 59 seats at stake deputies in their autonomous region hitherto considered an impregnable Labour stronghold. It almost would compound its representation in the House of Commons.
1:30 GMT, the nationalists have got a win symbolizing Labour meltdown, with the election of Mhairi Black, a 20 year old student who becomes the young Westminster MP since 1667, at the expense of incumbent and part of Labour, Douglas Alexander. All day Thursday, SNP activists out of the voting booth in Glasgow, Edinburgh made no secret of their desire “revenge.” They aspire to hold a new referendum on independence after a first missed appointment in September. The populist and anti-European Ukip party, victor of the 2014 European elections, but victim of legislative uninominal voting system to one turn, would retain its two seats, despite 14% of voting intentions. Its leader, Nigel Farage, was threatened in South Thanet. He announced that in case of failure, “he would pull the curtain.”
What Eurosceptics?
The performance of “David Cameron has significantly increased his stature,” argued Patrick Dunleavy, an expert at the LSE . He behaved much better than expected at the polls, but might struggle “to do anything radical,” he added. Weakened, Cameron will have to contain the discontent of eurosescptique fringe of his party and hold off the pretenders to his estate. One of them, the ebullient Mayor of London Boris Johnson, was elected MP in Uxbridge, an essential step in order to claim the party leadership.
If the final results would prove less favorable announced, David Cameron should soon start negotiations with potential allies, can support the piecemeal during key votes in parliament. The Northern Irish DUP and the lib-dems would then be privileged interlocutors.
More than 45 million voters were called to vote in 50,000 polling stations opened in sometimes unusual places, with polls open in pubs, primary schools, churches, a school bus, a caravan, a windmill, a retirement home and even a Hindu temple and a funeral home.
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