Thursday, May 7, 2015

David Cameron gave winner of the British election – BBC

According to a survey conducted exit polls, the Conservatives would improve their score, Labour and centrist being rolled.

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Estimates exit polls published at the close of the polling stations were lying all the polls of the campaign to those published on the last day, generating skepticism reactions. David Cameron’s Conservatives were given far ahead with 316 seats in Parliament, less than ten seats absolute majority. It’s better than 10 in the election of 2010.

The Labour Ed Miliband would be far behind, with 239 seats, far from the expected elbow to elbow and commented extensively throughout the countryside. Another victim of this election, the Liberal Democrats would have 10 seats, against 56 previously. Just enough to form, if necessary, an auxiliary force to renew a coalition with the Tories in extremely weak position. But so close to an absolute majority, they could afford to do without them to attempt a minority government.

Second apparent winner of the election, the Scottish nationalists arrogeraient 58 of 59 Scottish constituencies. Their leader Nicola Sturgeon will be in a strong position, as expected, in Westminster, but not as much as hoped facing such a conservative bloc. Reacting to estimates with an “enormous caution,” she said to herself “proud of our campaign,” “regardless of the results.”

Ukip’s Nigel Farage décrocherait of only two seats, as far as Greens. It would be a failure for the sovereignist party, which won maintain its position last fall in connection with elections.

Most of the political leaders reacted cautiously to projections according to a survey exit polls. But according to Michael Gove, close to David Cameron, “the Conservatives have clearly won this election.”

A wave of panic seized staffs who had not planned this surprise. “I am amazed, it’s a sensational result. The polls have obviously underestimated the conservative vote and overestimated the Labour vote. Something was happening that we have not identified “responding to political scientist Michael Thrasher, Sky News. Some experts questioned again late in the evening on the reliability of these estimates. In 2010, the exit poll was reliable enough, a few seats near. “It is reasonable to be cautious, but even with hindsight, these results will have a significant impact,” responded Tony Travers, expert at the London School of Economics. The head of the Institute of YouGouv Peter Kellner polls, let go, ‘I’m puzzled, everyone is puzzled. “

” In light of these results, David Cameron is assured of becoming prime minister but n has not exactly necessary majority, commented Patrick Dunleavy, professor at the LSE. It can be done with the help of the Irish Democratic Unionist Party, which have 8 seats. We are witnessing a collapse of the Liberal Democrats. The exercise of the coalition has proved disastrous for them, threatening their existence as a party. With 10 members, they are in no position to negotiate with a Conservative Party 316. The paradox is that David Cameron as prime minister would survive without the majority needed to govern entirely free manner. “

Markets Financial reacted favorably. The pound rebounded immediately to his best of the week against the dollar.

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